G7 foreign ministers meeting in Paris is giving U.S. allies their first chance to assess whether Republicans’ midterm losses will change President Donald Trump’s approach to Ukraine, the Middle East and relations with partners. Diplomats said Democratic gains could constrain the White House but cautioned that a return to traditional U.S. multilateralism is unlikely while foreign policy remains under Trump’s control. Ukraine is a central focus ahead of U.S.-Russia-Ukraine talks in Abu Dhabi, as diplomats describe a largely static front and warn that Russia is targeting energy infrastructure. The meeting is also expected to address divisions among European governments over coordinating their diplomacy and strategy on the war.
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Those Abu Dhabi talks with Russia will matter more than G7 words if Trump stays focused on his own deal.
Europeans keep hoping for the old US role in the Middle East yet this meeting shows they need their own plan.
The midterms loss might force Trump to compromise a bit on Ukraine aid but I wouldn't count on big policy shifts.
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