CeeDee Lamb and Kyler Murray Top Week 1 Prop Recommendations

NFL Week 1 prop recommendations favor volume-based opportunities across five matchups, using projected roles, 2025 performance data and matchup conditions rather than small current-season samples. The Dallas pick is CeeDee Lamb over 6.5 receptions against the Giants, supported by his central role in a Dallas offense expected to benefit from New York’s weak run defense and potentially favorable play-action situations. Minnesota quarterback Kyler Murray is recommended over 22.5 rushing yards against Green Bay, with his scrambling and designed-run role providing a path to exceed the projection even as the Vikings manage uncertainty in their backfield. Chicago running back D’Andre Swift is favored over 62.5 rushing yards against Carolina, whose 2025 defense struggled to generate pressure, sacks and negative plays. Baltimore wide receiver Zay Flowers is projected over 63.5 receiving yards against Indianapolis, which allowed especially strong production to slot receivers, while Garrett Wilson is backed over 5.5 receptions against Tennessee because of his established target volume and the Jets’ likely reliance on quick passes.