2026 Arkansas Senate race — Republican primary

← The general election race

Decided — Tom Cotton wonThis election is closed; the page is its record.

How the forecasts did

Not enough forecast data to score.

ResultTom Cotton won (Republican)

Final pollsNo pre-election polling

Betting marketsNot priced

Result via Wikipedia, from the certified count.

Recent polls

All 4 readings →

Cotton

Trend: trailing 5-poll average · hover a dot for the poll behind it

🗳️ IJR community pollinfluence-weighted · not a scientific poll

2040 Strategy Group (D)Jul 25Cotton 46 – Shoffner 43
GrayHouse (R)Feb 9Cotton 58 – Shoffner 36

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Funding raised

Declared candidates

Source: FEC filings + public polling

Tom Cotton
Republican · Incumbent
FEC filing ↗
Stated positions (29) ▾
- Abortion: Opposes abortion and believes Roe v. Wade was wrongly decided, leaving the issue to states. [1]
- Border enforcement & immigration law: Supports securing the border, ending chain migration, and shifting to a skills-based immigration system. [1][2]
- China & trade: Supports tough measures against the Chinese Communist Party and environmental waivers for defense projects countering China.

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Seats and incumbents from the public congress-legislators dataset; candidates from FEC filings and Wikipedia polling rosters; polls and aggregation averages via Wikipedia contributors (CC BY-SA) and public polling exports. The community pick is an unscientific reader poll. All active races →

2026 Arkansas Senate race — Republican primary

How the forecasts did

Recent polls

Funding raised

Declared candidates

More races

2026 Arkansas Senate race — Republican primary

How the forecasts did

Recent polls

Funding raised

Declared candidates

More races

No longer in this race

The race wire

The race wire