← 2026 Election Tracker · U.S. Senate
Incumbent: John Cornyn (Republican) · not seeking re-election in this race

2026 Texas attorney general race · same ballot
2026 Texas governor's race · same ballot
2026 Texas House race — Jodey C. Arrington's seat · same ballot
2026 Texas House race — Brian Babin's seat · same ballot
2026 Texas House race — John R. Carter's seat · same ballot2026 Texas House race — Henry Cuellar's seat · same ballot
| UT/Texas Politics Project |
| 8/5 – 8/13 |
| 42 |
| 39 |
| Talarico+3 |
| Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media | 8/13 | 46 | 47 | Paxton+1 |
| Emerson College | 8/9 – 8/10 | 46 | 47 | Paxton+1 |
| Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media | 8/9 – 8/10 | 46 | 47 | Paxton+1 |
| Texas Southern University/Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 7/27 – 8/2 | 47 | 45 | Talarico+2 |
| YouGov Blue (D) | 7/15 – 7/31 | 48 | 45 | Talarico+3 |
| Wedgewood Polls | 7/30 – 7/31 | 48 | 46 | Talarico+2 |
| 254 Labs/YouGov | 7/15 – 7/31 | 48 | 45 | Talarico+3 |
| 254 Labs / YouGov Blue | 7/15 – 7/31 | 48 | 45 | Talarico+3 |
| 254 Labs | 7/15 – 7/31 | 48 | 45 | Talarico+3 |
| Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University | 7/27 – 7/30 | 47 | 43 | Talarico+4 |
| Texas Southern University | 7/27 – 7/30 | 47 | 45 | Talarico+2 |
| TSU/YouGov | 7/27 – 7/30 | 47 | 45 | Talarico+2 |
| Bush School/Recon MR | 7/27 – 7/30 | 47 | 43 | Talarico+4 |
| Texas Pulse/Texas A&M Bush School | 7/27 – 7/30 | 47 | 43 | Talarico+4 |
| Beacon Research (D)/Shaw & Co. Research (R) | 7/23 – 7/27 | 51 | 48 | Talarico+3 |
| FOX News | 7/23 – 7/27 | 51 | 48 | Talarico+3 |
| Texas Public Opinion Research (D) | 7/15 – 7/17 | 45 | 40 | Talarico+5 |
| A2 Insights | 6/23 – 6/28 | 48 | 46 | Talarico+2 |
| New York Times/Siena University | 6/19 – 6/27 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| NY Times/Siena | 6/19 – 6/27 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| SoCal Strategies (R) | 6/21 | 47 | 49 | Paxton+2 |
| UT/Texas Politics Project | 6/5 – 6/12 | 42 | 43 | Paxton+1 |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | 6/5 – 6/12 | 42 | 43 | Paxton+1 |
| Quantus Insights (R) | 6/3 – 6/4 | 43 | 45 | Paxton+2 |
| Texas A&M University/ReconMR/Siena University | 6/1 – 6/4 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| Texas Public Opinion Research (D) | 5/27 – 5/28 | 47 | 44 | Talarico+3 |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | 5/22 – 5/23 | 45 | 38 | Talarico+7 |
| Texas Southern University | 4/22 – 5/6 | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Texas Public Opinion Research (D) | 4/17 – 4/20 | 46 | 41 | Talarico+5 |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | 4/10 – 4/20 | 42 | 34 | Talarico+8 |
| Impact Research (D) | 3/12 – 3/17 | 44 | 43 | Talarico+1 |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | 3/4 – 3/5 | 47 | 45 | Talarico+2 |
| University of Houston/YouGov | 1/20 – 1/31 | 44 | 46 | Paxton+2 |
| Emerson College | 1/10 – 1/12 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| Ragnar Research Partners (R) | 11/12 – 11/17 | 44 | 44 | Tie |
| University of Houston/Texas Southern University | 9/19 – 10/1 | 46 | 49 | Paxton+3 |
| UT Tyler | 9/17 – 9/24 | 37 | 38 | Paxton+1 |